← KouritenSG Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 1
at KouritenSG Store Championship
decks
3
(10.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
8-5-4
overall winrate
58.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.1%
avg ELO +1.6 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1298
· median 1338
· range 1161–1395
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1056
Q1 1139
Q3 1358
1633
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 20.7% | 5 | 3-1-1 | 70.0% | 61.1% | 56.0% | +3.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.5% | +18.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.6% | +2.7 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.1% | -7.9 |
| Fire Byakko | 3.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 54.6% | +4.4 |
| Water Aetherwing | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.3% | -20.4 |
| Water Allies | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.2 |
| Water Fractal | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 3.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 3.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.9 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
